 
          25
        
        
          Honour Lectures /
        
        
          
            Conférences honorifiques
          
        
        
          
            Proceedings of the 18
          
        
        
          
            th
          
        
        
          
            International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
          
        
        
          On the one hand, among the «negative» factors:
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The slope between Pointe Odden and Quai des Chalands
        
        
          consists of young sediments with frequent and seasonal
        
        
          changes in the shoreline.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The sediments south of the 1971 slide may be in a state of
        
        
          unstable equilibrium. The addition of a small quantity of sand
        
        
          can result in important surface sliding.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The slopes of the seabed have an inclination prone to sliding;
        
        
          continuous weaker layers susceptible to slides may be present.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The large surface slide in 1988-1989 did not preclude the
        
        
          possibility of the occurrence of a large deep-seated slide.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          A deep-seated slide may be triggered by an accumulation of
        
        
          sand, erosion (e.g. discharge of an outflow pipe or wave
        
        
          action) or some local small vibration in the earth crust.
        
        
          On the other hand, among the «positive» factors:
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The Quai des Chalands area appears to have no history of
        
        
          sliding, except between 1937 and 1946.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The efficiency of the vibro-floated wall to stop a slope failure
        
        
          is not known. However observations during the vibro-floating
        
        
          operation indicated a very strong soil at the bottom of the
        
        
          vibro-floated area, where the cone penetrometer could not
        
        
          penetrate. With such layer beneath the vibro-floatation zone,
        
        
          the possibility of a slide going further inland should be low.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          Movements experienced during pile installation were not an
        
        
          indication of foundation instability, but were probably caused
        
        
          by the piling procedure used.
        
        
          ‐
        
        
          The sheet pile driving near the Quai des Chalands did not
        
        
          trigger slides at the time of pile installation.
        
        
          An impact study was made to select the optimum solution for
        
        
          the continued operation of the oil terminal. The following
        
        
          consequences were considered: (1) loss of life, and loss of Pointe
        
        
          Odden to sea; (2) impact on environment due to damage of loading
        
        
          berth and oil leakage; (3) undermining of sand foundation at Quai
        
        
          des Chalands; (4) displacement of pile tops and anchors of the
        
        
          pier; (5) reduction of draught near the pier and Quai des Chalands;
        
        
          (6) impact on oil terminal activities. Remedial measures and their
        
        
          feasilibity were also considered: (1) on-site geotechnical
        
        
          reconnaissance and laboratory testing on soil samples; (2) careful
        
        
          dredging (difficult to achieve without triggering a slide, and not a
        
        
          permanent solution); (3) deep underwater compaction (e.g. vibro-
        
        
          floatation, chalk piling, grouting, chemical injection; (4) controlled
        
        
          blasting of the underwater slope.
        
        
          Figure 25. Run-out distance
        
        
          
            vs
          
        
        
          slide volume for submarine slides
        
        
          (Edgers and Karlsrud 1982; additional data from Canals
        
        
          
            et al
          
        
        
          2005))
        
        
          7.4
        
        
          
            Lessons learned
          
        
        
          The slides seemed to occur every 15 to 20 years. They are a natural
        
        
          phenomenon due to the geology and geography of the area. For
        
        
          such natural hazard, given the impact analysis carried out and the
        
        
          uncertainty whether remedial measures would be partly or fully
        
        
          successful, continued surveillance of the coast and seabed, using
        
        
          the slope of the seabed as stability indicator, was deemed the
        
        
          optimum solution.
        
        
          The sliding on Cap Lopez was difficult to circumvent. In view
        
        
          of the sliding observations in the past, the fact that recent sliding
        
        
          occurred within the limits of the «worst case» scenario of the
        
        
          impact study, the positive and negative factors that could lead to
        
        
          sliding near the terminal installations, Elf made the engineering
        
        
          decision to continue surveillance of the coast and seabed, using the
        
        
          slope of the seabed as indicator of stability. This decision was
        
        
          helped by the fact that the risk of loss of human life was essentially
        
        
          nil. The overall risk to the oil terminal operations was considered
        
        
          to be tolerable with surveillance of the coast as the main tool to
        
        
          evaluate whether new remedial measures were needed.
        
        
          8 THE ASHCROFT THOMPSON RIVER LANDSLIDES
        
        
          8.1
        
        
          
            Description of the landslides
          
        
        
          The town of Ashcroft is located on the east side of the Thomp-
        
        
          son River in southern British Columbia, northeast of Vancou-
        
        
          ver. The multiple landslide activity near Ashcroft has a very
        
        
          strong impact on freight transportation. (Bunce and Chadwick
        
        
          2012; Bunce and Martin 2011; Bunce and Quinn 2012).
        
        
          Figure 26 presents an aerial view of part of the Ashcroft
        
        
          Thompson River and three recent landslides. Near the village of
        
        
          Ashcroft, more than 20 landslides have occurred, ranging in size
        
        
          from 10,000 m
        
        
          3
        
        
          to 5 million m
        
        
          3
        
        
          . Figure 27 illustrates some of
        
        
          the reported landslide initiations and observed significant
        
        
          movements near the railway in the Ashcroft area. The move-
        
        
          ments can be slow and relatively small, but insidious, or they
        
        
          can be sudden, fast and very large.
        
        
          The stakeholders are the railway companies, Canadian Pa-
        
        
          cific and Canadian National, Transport Canada, the British Co-
        
        
          lumbia Government (Environment and Transportation) and the
        
        
          Canadian Department of Fisheries and Oceans. Railways trav-
        
        
          erse valley slopes and can be exposed to numerous landslide
        
        
          hazards. Railways typically select one of three strategies to
        
        
          manage the risks associated with landslides: avoid the landslide,
        
        
          stabilize the landslide or implement monitoring and signal sys-
        
        
          tems that indicate when the tracks may be unsafe (Bunce and
        
        
          Martin 2011).
        
        
          Figure 26. Ashcroft Thompson River and three recent landslides (Bunce
        
        
          and Quinn 2012)