 
          1752
        
        
          Proceedings of the 18
        
        
          th
        
        
          International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
        
        
          information system-Artificial Neural Network (GIS–ANN)
        
        
          approach can be used effectively as a decision support tool for
        
        
          making tunneling performance predictions that are required in
        
        
          routine tunnel design works. Boubou et al. (2010) analyzed
        
        
          ground movements induced by tunnelling and their correlation
        
        
          with TBM operation parameters using a nonlinear least square
        
        
          approximation and an ANN. Measured ground movements are
        
        
          reproduced with reasonable agreement by each of the two
        
        
          approaches. Lui et al. (2011) proposed a predictive control
        
        
          strategy for earth pressure balance during excavation, where an
        
        
          earth pressure prediction model taking advance speed and screw
        
        
          conveyor speed as the control parameters is established by
        
        
          means of least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM). The
        
        
          simulation results demonstrate that their method is very
        
        
          effective to control earth pressure balance. Jiang et al. (2011)
        
        
          presented an integrated optimisation method for the feedback
        
        
          control of tunnel displacement which combines the SVM,
        
        
          particle swarm optimisation (PSO) and numerical analysis
        
        
          methods. Lü et al. (2012) proposed an efficient approach for
        
        
          probabilistic ground-support interaction analysis of deep rock
        
        
          excavation using the ANN and uniform design. Mahdevari and
        
        
          Torabi (2012) developed a method based on ANN for prediction
        
        
          of convergence in tunnels. Darabi et al. (2012) preformed tunnel
        
        
          stability analysis and subsidence prediction using empirical,
        
        
          numerical, neural network and statistical methods.
        
        
          Mohamadnejad et al. (2012) used three approaches to predict
        
        
          the vibrations in excavations.  The vibrations were predicted
        
        
          using several widely used empirical methods and two
        
        
          intelligence science techniques namely general regression
        
        
          neural network (GRNN) and SVM. They conclude that the
        
        
          SVM technique is more precise than the other used methods.
        
        
          Pourtaghi and Lotfollahi-Yaghin (2012) presented an alternative
        
        
          method of maximum ground surface settlement prediction
        
        
          caused by tunnelling, which is based on integration between
        
        
          wavelet theory and ANN, or wavelet network (wavenet). The
        
        
          simulation results indicate excellent learning ability compared
        
        
          to the conventional back-propagation neural network with
        
        
          sigmoid or other activation functions. Mahdevari et al. (2012)
        
        
          employed well-known Artificial Intelligence based methods,
        
        
          SVM and ANN, to predict the ground condition of a tunneling
        
        
          project. They concluded that the performance of the SVM
        
        
          model is better than the ANN model and a high conformity was
        
        
          observed between predicted and measured convergence for the
        
        
          SVM model.
        
        
          3 ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND SUPPORT
        
        
          VECTOR MACHINES
        
        
          Artificial Neural Networks are intended to be an approximation
        
        
          to the architecture of the human brain. These networks consist
        
        
          of processing units (nodes) interconnected according to a given
        
        
          configuration. The multi-layer perceptron (Figure 1) is the most
        
        
          popular configuration (Haykin 1999).
        
        
          The nodes are constituted by: a set of connections (w
        
        
          ij
        
        
          ), each
        
        
          one labeled by a weight, which has an excitatory effect for
        
        
          positive values and inhibitory effect for negative ones; an
        
        
          integrator (g), which reduces the n input arguments (stimuli) to
        
        
          a single value; and an activation function (f) which can
        
        
          condition the output signal, by introducing a component of non-
        
        
          linearity in the computational process.
        
        
          In the present paper the network weights are initially
        
        
          randomly generated within the range [-0.7, +0.7] and it is used
        
        
          the logistics activation function (1 / (1 + exp (-x)). Then, the
        
        
          training algorithm is applied adjusting successively the weights,
        
        
          stopping when the slope of the error is approximately zero or
        
        
          after a maximum number of iterations. The prediction is made
        
        
          by adding the contribution of all connections activated.
        
        
          Figure 1. Example of a multilayer perceptron.
        
        
          The SVM (Cortes and Vapnik 1995) were originally
        
        
          designed for classification problems based on the separation of
        
        
          two classes of objects using a set of functions known as kernels
        
        
          (Figure 2). In this process, called mapping, the classes are
        
        
          separated by hyperplanes being used one iterative optimization
        
        
          algorithm to find the hyperplane that provides the largest
        
        
          separation between the classes. This separation is related to a set
        
        
          of support vectors in the feature space.
        
        
          Figure 2. Example of the SVM transformation.
        
        
          Both in classification and regression methods there is an
        
        
          error function to minimize subjected to some constraints. In this
        
        
          paper it will be used the popular Kernel with Radial Basis
        
        
          which presents less hyperparameters and smaller numerical
        
        
          difficulties than other kernels (eg, polynomial or sigmoid)
        
        
          
        
        
          Cortez 2010):
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          0 ,
        
        
          exp ) ,(
        
        
          2
        
        
          
        
        
            
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            y x
          
        
        
          
            yxk
          
        
        
          (1)
        
        
          In addition to the parameter of the kernel, γ, two more
        
        
          parameters are used: the penalty parameter, C, and ε, the width
        
        
          of the ε-insensitive zone.
        
        
          The performance of models was assessed using the Mean
        
        
          Absolute Deviation (MAD, Equation 2), the Root Mean
        
        
          Squared Error (RMSE, Equation 3) and the Pearson’s product-
        
        
          moment correlation coefficient (R).
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
           
        
        
          
            N
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            y y
          
        
        
          
            N
          
        
        
          
            MAD
          
        
        
          1
        
        
          1
        
        
          
        
        
          (2)
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            N
          
        
        
          
            y y
          
        
        
          
            RMSE
          
        
        
          
            N
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          1
        
        
          2
        
        
          
        
        
          (3)
        
        
          where N denotes the number of examples, y
        
        
          i
        
        
          the desired value
        
        
          and ŷ
        
        
          i
        
        
          the estimated value by the considered model.
        
        
          4 DATABASE AND PREVIOUS EQUATIONS FOR ROP
        
        
          The database used in this study was presented by Yagiz (2008)
        
        
          and is composed of 153 data sets collected from 151 different
        
        
          locations from a tunnel excavated in fractured igneous and
        
        
          metamorphic rock in New York City. The independent variables