 
          1162
        
        
          Proceedings of the 18
        
        
          th
        
        
          International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
        
        
          
            Proceedings of the 18
          
        
        
          
            th
          
        
        
          
            International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
          
        
        
          APPENDIX A
        
        
          TABLE A1: DETERMINATION OF THE TMI FOR PERTH, AT PRESENT
        
        
          Perth, Australia
        
        
          Present Day
        
        
          Latitude 31.95º S
        
        
          
            Month
          
        
        
          
            Jan Feb
          
        
        
          
            Mar
          
        
        
          
            Apr
          
        
        
          
            May
          
        
        
          
            Jun Jul
          
        
        
          
            Aug Sep
          
        
        
          
            Oct
          
        
        
          
            Nov Dec
          
        
        
          
            Total
          
        
        
          
            Rainfall
          
        
        
          9
        
        
          13
        
        
          19
        
        
          46
        
        
          123
        
        
          182
        
        
          173
        
        
          135
        
        
          80
        
        
          55
        
        
          22
        
        
          14
        
        
          
            871
          
        
        
          
            Ave. temp (
          
        
        
          
            
              t
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          24.3
        
        
          24.7
        
        
          22.8
        
        
          19.9
        
        
          16.7
        
        
          14.0
        
        
          13.3
        
        
          13.4
        
        
          14.9
        
        
          17.0
        
        
          20.3
        
        
          22.7
        
        
          
            Heat index (
          
        
        
          
            
              i
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          10.95
        
        
          11.23
        
        
          9.95
        
        
          8.09
        
        
          6.21
        
        
          4.75
        
        
          4.40
        
        
          4.45
        
        
          5.22
        
        
          6.38
        
        
          8.34
        
        
          9.88
        
        
          
            89.86
          
        
        
          
            Latitude
          
        
        
          
            Corr. factor
          
        
        
          1.21
        
        
          1.03
        
        
          1.06
        
        
          0.95
        
        
          0.91
        
        
          0.84
        
        
          0.89
        
        
          0.95
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          1.12
        
        
          1.15
        
        
          1.23
        
        
          
            Potential
          
        
        
          
            evap. (
          
        
        
          
            
              PE
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          137.4
        
        
          120.8
        
        
          106.2
        
        
          72.8
        
        
          49.4
        
        
          32.2
        
        
          30.8
        
        
          33.4
        
        
          43.3
        
        
          62.9
        
        
          91.6
        
        
          122.1
        
        
          
            903
          
        
        
          
            Water
          
        
        
          
            balance
          
        
        
          -128.4 -107.8
        
        
          -87.2
        
        
          -26.8
        
        
          73.6
        
        
          149.8
        
        
          142.2
        
        
          101.6
        
        
          36.7
        
        
          -7.9
        
        
          -69.6
        
        
          -108.1
        
        
          
            Storage
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          73.6
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          92.1
        
        
          22.4
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            Deficit
          
        
        
          128.4
        
        
          107.8
        
        
          87.2
        
        
          26.8
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          85.7
        
        
          
            435.9
          
        
        
          
            Surplus
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          123.4
        
        
          142.2
        
        
          101.6
        
        
          36.7
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            403.9
          
        
        
          a = 1.970
        
        
          
            TMI = 16
          
        
        
          Notes on Table A1:  Water balance = Rainfall – PE; Storage = previous month’s storage + water balance for month (= 0 if
        
        
          result is negative, and =100 if result ≥ 100 mm); Deficit = |water balance| – storage
        
        
          previous month
        
        
          (if
        
        
          storage for month = 0); and Surplus = water balance + storage
        
        
          previous month
        
        
          – 100 (if storage for month =
        
        
          100).
        
        
          TABLE A2: DETERMINATION OF THE TMI FOR PERTH, PREDICTED FOR 2070
        
        
          Perth, Australia
        
        
          2070
        
        
          Latitude 31.95º S
        
        
          
            Month
          
        
        
          
            Jan Feb
          
        
        
          
            Mar
          
        
        
          
            Apr
          
        
        
          
            May
          
        
        
          
            Jun Jul
          
        
        
          
            Aug Sep
          
        
        
          
            Oct
          
        
        
          
            Nov Dec
          
        
        
          
            Total
          
        
        
          
            Rainfall
          
        
        
          7.9
        
        
          11.4
        
        
          16.7
        
        
          40.5
        
        
          108.2
        
        
          142.0
        
        
          134.9
        
        
          105.3
        
        
          58.4
        
        
          40.2
        
        
          16.1
        
        
          12.3
        
        
          
            694
          
        
        
          
            Ave. temp (
          
        
        
          
            
              t
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          27.2
        
        
          27.6
        
        
          25.5
        
        
          22.6
        
        
          19.4
        
        
          16.3
        
        
          15.6
        
        
          15.7
        
        
          17.8
        
        
          19.9
        
        
          23.2
        
        
          25.6
        
        
          
            Heat index
          
        
        
          
            (
          
        
        
          
            
              i
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          12.99
        
        
          13.28
        
        
          11.78
        
        
          9.82
        
        
          7.79
        
        
          5.98
        
        
          5.60
        
        
          5.65
        
        
          6.84
        
        
          8.10
        
        
          10.21
        
        
          11.85
        
        
          
            109.9
          
        
        
          
            Latitude
          
        
        
          
            Corr. factor
          
        
        
          1.21
        
        
          1.03
        
        
          1.06
        
        
          0.95
        
        
          0.91
        
        
          0.84
        
        
          0.89
        
        
          0.95
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          1.12
        
        
          1.15
        
        
          1.23
        
        
          
            Potential
          
        
        
          
            evap. (
          
        
        
          
            
              PE
            
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          174.6
        
        
          154.0
        
        
          130.8
        
        
          87.4
        
        
          57.8
        
        
          35.0
        
        
          33.3
        
        
          36.1
        
        
          51.6
        
        
          75.7
        
        
          112.8
        
        
          153.2
        
        
          
            1102
          
        
        
          
            Water
          
        
        
          
            balance
          
        
        
          -166.7 -142.5 -114.0
        
        
          -47.0
        
        
          50.4
        
        
          107.0
        
        
          101.6
        
        
          69.2
        
        
          6.8
        
        
          -35.5
        
        
          -96.7
        
        
          -140.9
        
        
          
            Storage
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          50.4
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          100
        
        
          64.5
        
        
          -32.3
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            Deficit
          
        
        
          166.7
        
        
          142.5
        
        
          114.0
        
        
          47.0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          173.1
        
        
          
            643.3
          
        
        
          
            Surplus
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          57.4
        
        
          101.6
        
        
          69.2
        
        
          6.8
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            235.0
          
        
        
          a = 2.427
        
        
          
            TMI = -14
          
        
        
          Notes on Table A2:  From Table 1 for Perth in 2070, predicted monthly rainfall decrease below present day averages is
        
        
          12% for summer (i.e. December to February), 12% for autumn (i.e. March to May), 22% for winter
        
        
          (i.e. June to August) and 27% for spring (i.e. September to November). Also from Table 1, the
        
        
          predicted average monthly temperature increase over present day averages is 2.9°C for summer,
        
        
          2.7°C for autumn, 2.3°C for winter, and 2.9°C for spring.
        
        
          4