 
          1294
        
        
          Proceedings of the 18
        
        
          th
        
        
          International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
        
        
          In the Hyperbolic method, the relationship between
        
        
          settlement (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ) at any time (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          ) is given by Eqn. 3 and the
        
        
          ultimate settlement by Eqn. 4.
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
            mt
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
           
        
        
          (3)
        
        
          This is a linear straight line in a plot of
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          against
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          .
        
        
          1
        
        
          
            ult
          
        
        
          
            m
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (4)
        
        
          where
        
        
          , ,
        
        
          
            m
          
        
        
           
        
        
          are the co-efficients representing the
        
        
          theoretical slope factor, intercept and slope of the straight line
        
        
          respectively
        
        
          Figure 6. Observational approaches for predicting settlement: (a)
        
        
          Asaoka; and (b) Hyperbolic
        
        
          In the NBR embankment field study, the ultimate settlement
        
        
          predicted using the Asaoka and Hyperbolic methods were
        
        
          almost identical (517.00 mm and 517.25 mm respectively). On
        
        
          the other hand, it was observed that the measured field
        
        
          settlement at 360 days was about 480 mm, whereas the
        
        
          predicted settlements obtained from the MCC and EVP analyses
        
        
          at 360 days were 425.55 mm and 498.00 mm respectively.
        
        
          5 CONCLUDING REMARKS
        
        
          The long-term performance of the instrumented preloaded NBR
        
        
          embankment founded on a soft sensitive estuarine clay was
        
        
          numerically modelled using the MCC and creep-based EVP
        
        
          models. It was observed from the field monitoring data through
        
        
          a settlement plate and piezometer that creep-based settlement
        
        
          was ongoing and, after 360 days, ultimate settlement was not
        
        
          attained. Although the MCC model ignored creep, which
        
        
          resulted in it under-predicting ultimate settlement. Measured
        
        
          settlement was well captured by the creep-based EVP model.
        
        
          On the other hand, the MCC model captured the excess pore
        
        
          water pressure prediction better than the creep-based EVP
        
        
          model, particularly up to 73 days. As there may have been rain
        
        
          after 73 days, which would have raised the ground water level,
        
        
          further study is being undertaken to ascertain the excess pore
        
        
          water pressure. To predict ultimate settlement through an
        
        
          observational approach, two methods were used: the Asaoka
        
        
          and Hyperbolic, with their predictions compared with those
        
        
          from FEA-based MCC and EVP analyses. It was observed that
        
        
          the modified calculation of the Asaoka method predicted almost
        
        
          identical magnitudes of ultimate settlement as the Hyperbolic
        
        
          method and FEAs.
        
        
          6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
        
        
          The first author was supported by the Tuition Fee Scholarship
        
        
          (TFS) while conducting his Doctoral research at UNSW
        
        
          Canberra. The support provided by the National Computational
        
        
          Infrastructure (NCI) facility, Australia and QDTMR, Australia
        
        
          are gratefully acknowledged.
        
        
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          -34.
        
        
          (a)
        
        
          (b)
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            ult
          
        
        
          
        
        
          R
        
        
          2
        
        
          Days mm
        
        
          7
        
        
          519.00 0.991
        
        
          14
        
        
          517.50 0.996
        
        
          21
        
        
          517.00 0.992
        
        
          2
        
        
          0.9026
        
        
          1 1000
        
        
          1.745
        
        
          0.994
        
        
          517.25
        
        
          
            ult
          
        
        
          
            m
          
        
        
          
            R
          
        
        
          
            mm