 
          1293
        
        
          Technical Committee 202 /
        
        
          
            Comité technique 202
          
        
        
          Table 1. Material parameters used in analyses
        
        
          
            Notes:
          
        
        
          Poisson’s ratio considered 0.3
        
        
          
        
        
          From 1D consolidation tests
        
        
          * At top of soil layer
        
        
          ‡
        
        
          Gradient of
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
            p
          
        
        
          after -14.5 m 5.5 kPa/m of depth
        
        
          The excess pore water pressure was monitored for 217 days and
        
        
          observed to be better predicted by the MCC than EVP model.
        
        
          Up to 73 days, the MCC model captured the measured excess
        
        
          pore water pressure well but then started to over-predict it.
        
        
          Figure 4. Comparison of measured and predicted settlements
        
        
          Figure 5. Comparison of measured and predicted excess pore water
        
        
          pressures
        
        
          4 OBSERVATIONAL APPROACH
        
        
          Observational approaches, such as the Asaoka (1978) and
        
        
          Hyperbolic (Tan 1995) methods, allow predictions of the
        
        
          ultimate settlement of estuarine clay. In Asaoka (1978) method,
        
        
          settlement (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ) at any time (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          ) can be expressed as a linear plot
        
        
          defined by Eqn. 1 and the ultimate settlement by Eqn 2.
        
        
          0 1 1
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
           
        
        
          
        
        
           
        
        
          (1)
        
        
          0
        
        
          1
        
        
          1
        
        
          
            ult
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (2)
        
        
          where
        
        
          0
        
        
          1
        
        
          ,
        
        
           
        
        
          are the co-efficients representing the intercept and
        
        
          slope of the fitted straight line proposed by Asaoka (1978)
        
        
          respectively, and the intercept point of the fitted line and 45
        
        
          
        
        
          lines stands for the ultimate settlement. Applicability of Asaoka
        
        
          method for predicting the creep-included settlement of soft
        
        
          clays has been questioned previously (Islam et al. 2012,
        
        
          Lansivaara 2003). Moreover, effectiveness of the Asaoka
        
        
          method is biased by the selection of the time interval (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ). For
        
        
          these reasons, in the present study, the prediction of the ultimate
        
        
          settlement obtained from the Asaoka method was compared
        
        
          with the ultimate settlement prediction from ‘Hyperbolic’
        
        
          method.
        
        
          For Asaoka Plot, the settlement data obtained for the
        
        
          settlement plate (SP18) was extracted for a particular constant
        
        
          time interval value
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (e.g. 7 days) and the maximum
        
        
          monitored settlement over the field monitoring period was
        
        
          considered as the peak settlement value. By trial and error,
        
        
          consideration of the settlement-time data range after 60%
        
        
          consolidation was found to be appropriate for predicting the
        
        
          ultimate settlement of the NBR embankment using Asaoka
        
        
          method. Similar approaches have been reported by Tan (1996)
        
        
          which was supported by Bergado et al. (1991).
        
        
          Different values of
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ( = 7, 14 and 21 days) were attempted
        
        
          for predicting
        
        
          
        
        
          
            ult
          
        
        
          . It was observed from the application of
        
        
          Asaoka method for this field case that, with increases in the
        
        
          time interval (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ), the predicted ultimate settlement decreased
        
        
          but, after a certain cutoff time interval (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ), their magnitudes
        
        
          became identical which is in agreement with the findings of
        
        
          Arulrajah (2005). The regression value for the corresponding
        
        
          Asaoka plot was found to be about 0.99.
        
        
          For the NBR embankment, the ultimate settlement
        
        
          predicted using the Asaoka and Hyperbolic methods were
        
        
          almost identical (517.00 mm and 517.25 mm respectively). In
        
        
          both cases, data beyond 60% of the consolidation (Tan 1996)
        
        
          were considered, as supported by Bergado et al. (1991). It is
        
        
          therefore concluded that when the soft soil exhibits significant
        
        
          creep, the ultimate settlement prediction by the Asaoka method
        
        
          only provided good agreement with the Hyperbolic method after
        
        
          a certain cutoff time interval (
        
        
          
            t
          
        
        
          
        
        
          ) and the data range after 60 %
        
        
          consolidation state. Therefore, the ultimate settlement prediction
        
        
          by the Asaoka method for creep-susceptible soft estuarine clay
        
        
          requires scrutiny.
        
        
          Vertical permeability coefficients
        
        
          
        
        
          RL (m)
        
        
          M
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            N
          
        
        
          
            e
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            K
          
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
            p
          
        
        
          *
        
        
          (kPa)
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            K
          
        
        
          (m/day)
        
        
          0
        
        
          
            e
          
        
        
          
            k
          
        
        
          
            C
          
        
        
          Fill Materials
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          0.42
        
        
          
            E
          
        
        
           
        
        
          3000 kPa,
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          =35
        
        
          
        
        
          ,
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
        
        
          = 5.0 kPa
        
        
          +1.5 to -0.5
        
        
          1.51
        
        
          0.43
        
        
          0.043
        
        
          4.10
        
        
          0.40
        
        
          50.00
        
        
          2.50×10
        
        
          -5
        
        
          1.70
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          -0.5 to -2.5
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          0.50
        
        
          
            E
          
        
        
           
        
        
          5000 kPa,
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          = 32
        
        
          
        
        
          ,
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
        
        
          = 4.0 kPa
        
        
          -2.5 to -9.5
        
        
          1.33
        
        
          0.39
        
        
          0.062
        
        
          3.85
        
        
          0.46
        
        
          80.00
        
        
          2.5×10
        
        
          -5
        
        
          1.70
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          -9.5 to -14.5
        
        
          1.20
        
        
          0.23
        
        
          0.030
        
        
          2.70
        
        
          0.50
        
        
          112.00
        
        
          2.5×10
        
        
          -5
        
        
          1.70
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          -14.5 to -19.5
        
        
          1.07
        
        
          0.13
        
        
          0.013
        
        
          2.51
        
        
          0.55
        
        
          114.00
        
        
          ‡
        
        
          2.5×10
        
        
          -5
        
        
          1.70
        
        
          1.00
        
        
          -19.5 to -32.5
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          ---
        
        
          0.42
        
        
          
            E
          
        
        
           
        
        
          15000 kPa,
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          = 35
        
        
          
        
        
          ,
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
        
        
          = 50.0 kPa
        
        
          0
        
        
          100
        
        
          200
        
        
          300
        
        
          400
        
        
          Time (Days)
        
        
          -600
        
        
          -500
        
        
          -400
        
        
          -300
        
        
          -200
        
        
          -100
        
        
          0
        
        
          Settlement (mm)
        
        
          Measured
        
        
          MCC
        
        
          EVP
        
        
          0
        
        
          50
        
        
          100
        
        
          150
        
        
          200
        
        
          250
        
        
          Days
        
        
          0
        
        
          20
        
        
          40
        
        
          60
        
        
          80
        
        
          Excess Pore Water Pressure (kPa)
        
        
          PP1
        
        
          MCC
        
        
          EVP