 
          1295
        
        
          Probabilistic Settlement Analysis For The Botlek Lifting Bridge Design
        
        
          Analyse probabiliste de tassement pour la conception du pont levant Botlek
        
        
          Jacobse J.A., Nehal R.S.
        
        
          
            GEO2 Engineering B.V.
          
        
        
          Rijneveld B.
        
        
          
            Fugro GeoServices B.V.
          
        
        
          Bouwmeester D.
        
        
          
            Ballast Nedam Engineering B.V.
          
        
        
          ABSTRACT: A new lifting bridge is being constructed crossing the river Oude Maas in the Rotterdam harbour area in the
        
        
          Netherlands. For the deformation analysis deterministic 3D FEM calculations were performed. In order to take the effect of soil
        
        
          heterogeneity on the deformation behaviour of the bridge piers into account, a probabilistic model has been developed. This model
        
        
          and the applications are described in this paper. The application of a simplified stochastic subsoil model enables a quantitative risk
        
        
          analysis in order to deal with this uncertainty. Furthermore the model is used to determine design values of the deformations of
        
        
          several components of the bridge.
        
        
          RÉSUMÉ : Au port de Rotterdam aux Pays-Bas on construit un nouveau pont levant qui traverse la rivière Oude Maas. Des calculs
        
        
          déterministes 3D FEM sont effectués pour analyser la déformation. On a développé un modèle probabiliste pour tirer l'effet de
        
        
          l'hétérogénéité du sol sur la déformation des piles du pont. Cet article décrit ce modèle et ses applications. L'application d'un sous-sol
        
        
          simplifié et stochastique permet une analyse de risque quantitative qui sait régler l'incertitude des paramètres du sous-sol. En outre le
        
        
          modèle est utilisé pour déterminer la valeur de calcul des déformations des différentes pièces du pont.
        
        
          KEYWORDS: Foundation design, shallow foundation, soil heterogeneity, probabilistic deformation analysis, quantitative risk
        
        
          analysis
        
        
          MOTS-CLES: Calcul de fondations, foundation superficielle, hétérogénéité, analyse probabiliste, analyse quantitative, analyse de
        
        
          risques
        
        
          1
        
        
          INTRODUCTION
        
        
          The Dutch highway A15 in the Rotterdam harbour area is
        
        
          being widened due to an increase in traffic load. One of the
        
        
          main challenges in this project is the construction of a new
        
        
          lifting bridge over the river Oude Maas. Consisting of two
        
        
          lifting spans of approximately 100 m and pylons reaching over
        
        
          60 m above water level, this new bridge will be one of the
        
        
          largest lifting bridges in Europe (see Figure 1).
        
        
          Figure 1. Typical cross section of new Botlek Lifting Bridge
        
        
          The three main bridge piers (from left to right in Figure 1:
        
        
          Pier 30, Pier 40 and Pier 50) are founded on rigid concrete
        
        
          blocks with footing dimensions of 15 x 60 m, at 8 m below river
        
        
          bed at the top of the first dense (Pleistocene) sand layer. For the
        
        
          geotechnical design the foundation was essentially treated as a
        
        
          shallow foundation.
        
        
          At a depth of approximately 16 m below the foundation
        
        
          footing a relatively soft clay layer is present with varying
        
        
          thicknesses between 0 and 4 m. This stratum complicated the
        
        
          design, especially with respect to the settlement behaviour
        
        
          which has a major impact on the performance of the total bridge
        
        
          and influences the different design disciplines (e.g. mechanical,
        
        
          electrical and structural). This article considers the risk analysis
        
        
          with respect to the deformation behaviour of the subsoil which
        
        
          was undertaken as part of the foundation design.
        
        
          2
        
        
          SOIL INVESTIGATION AND PARAMETER
        
        
          DETERMINATION
        
        
          For the determination of the soil parameters an extensive soil
        
        
          investigation has been performed. A relatively dense grid of
        
        
          Cone Penetration Tests (CPT’s) with a mutual distance of about
        
        
          15 m was executed to a depth of about 3 times the foundation
        
        
          width. In addition, a number of boreholes were drilled and
        
        
          undisturbed samples were taken at regular intervals for
        
        
          geotechnical laboratory tests by means of light percussion
        
        
          drilling in combination with thin-walled samplers. From the
        
        
          CPT’s and borehole logs the soil stratigraphy is determined, see
        
        
          Table 1.
        
        
          Table 1. General soil stratigraphy
        
        
          Top of layer
        
        
          [m NAP]
        
        
          Soil description
        
        
          Soil layer
        
        
          -7 à -14
        
        
          SAND, clayey
        
        
          cover layer
        
        
          -14 à -20
        
        
          SAND, (medium) dense
        
        
          1
        
        
          st
        
        
          sand layer
        
        
          -33 à -39
        
        
          CLAY, stiff
        
        
          deep clay
        
        
          layer
        
        
          -34 à -42
        
        
          SAND, (medium) dense
        
        
          2
        
        
          nd
        
        
          sand layer
        
        
          -60
        
        
          Max. investigation depth
        
        
          The thickness of the deep clay layer varies strongly. At some
        
        
          locations the thickness is about 4 m, whereas this layer was not
        
        
          encountered at other locations.
        
        
          Classification tests, such as particle size distribution
        
        
          (granular layers) and volumetric weight and water content