 
          1298
        
        
          Proceedings of the 18
        
        
          th
        
        
          International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Paris 2013
        
        
          functions are known from literature, from which the functions
        
        
          that adopt an exponential shape are commonly used. In this case
        
        
          the following expression is used (Breysse, 2004 and DeGroot,
        
        
          1993):
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          
            Ld
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            e
          
        
        
          /
        
        
          )2 ln( );1 ln(
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (8)
        
        
          In which:
        
        
          
            d
          
        
        
          = horizontal distance between two springs [m]
        
        
          
            L
          
        
        
          
            c
          
        
        
          = autocorrelation length of ln(z)  [m]
        
        
          The covariance can be determined according to (CUR190,
        
        
          1997):
        
        
          )
        
        
          ))
        
        
          ln( ),
        
        
          (ln(
        
        
          2 ln(
        
        
          )1 ln(
        
        
          )2 ln( );1 ln(
        
        
          2
        
        
          1
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            Cov
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (9)
        
        
          From this the covariance matrix
        
        
          
            C
          
        
        
          can be constructed.
        
        
          4.3.3
        
        
          
            Autocorrelation length
          
        
        
          The autocorrelation length L
        
        
          c
        
        
          can be interpreted as the
        
        
          distance over which a certain parameter is significantly
        
        
          correlated. In literature several indicative values for the
        
        
          horizontal and vertical correlation length for soil parameters are
        
        
          given. In this case especially the horizontal correlation length is
        
        
          relevant. Typical values for the horizontal autocorrelation length
        
        
          for soil properties are in the range L
        
        
          c
        
        
          ≈ 20 to 100 m (DeGroot,
        
        
          1993; TAW, 2001 and Gruijters, 2009).
        
        
          Before determining the autocorrelation length the influence
        
        
          of this parameter is checked. If L
        
        
          c
        
        
          → 0, the logarithm of the
        
        
          settlement at two locations is independent. Because of the
        
        
          averaging effect of the stiff foundation, the rotation is expected
        
        
          to approach the value as found in a deterministic approach, e.g.
        
        
          zero rotation if a homogeneous soil is modelled. If L
        
        
          c
        
        
          → ∞, the
        
        
          logarithm of the settlement at two locations is fully correlated.
        
        
          In this case the rotation is also expected to approach the value as
        
        
          found in an deterministic approach, e.g. zero rotation if a
        
        
          homogeneous soil is modelled. The maximum rotation is found
        
        
          for an intermediate value of L
        
        
          c
        
        
          , typically half the foundation
        
        
          size.
        
        
          For the deformation analysis especially the spatial variation
        
        
          of the compressibility of the different soil layers and the
        
        
          thickness of the clay layer are important. From the soil
        
        
          investigation it turned out that the horizontal correlation length
        
        
          with respect to the thickness of the clay layer is typically in the
        
        
          order of 10 to 20 m. However, in general the horizontal
        
        
          correlation length with respect to soil properties is typically in
        
        
          the order of 50 to 100 m. Therefore the most critical value for
        
        
          the horizontal correlation length within the range between 10 to
        
        
          100 m was selected. In this case a correlation length of 20 m has
        
        
          been used.
        
        
          4.4
        
        
          
            Step 4 - Realisations of spring values
          
        
        
          For the probabilistic analysis a Monte Carlo (MC) procedure is
        
        
          used (CUR190, 1997 and Haugh, 2004). To generate correlated
        
        
          values for the spring values an algorithm in a spreadsheet
        
        
          program was set up. The following procedure is applied for
        
        
          each realisation 1 to
        
        
          
            n
          
        
        
          :
        
        
          1)
        
        
          Generate a vector with realization of the standard normal
        
        
          distribution
        
        
          
            
              X
            
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            N(0,
          
        
        
          I
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          . In which
        
        
          I
        
        
          is the identity matrix
        
        
          and the size of the vector is equal to the number of springs
        
        
          
            s = I.J
          
        
        
          2)
        
        
          Decompose the covariance matrix
        
        
          
            
              C
            
          
        
        
          
            ln(z)
          
        
        
          
            =
          
        
        
          
            
              A
            
          
        
        
          
            .
          
        
        
          
            
              A
            
          
        
        
          
            T
          
        
        
          (Cholesky
        
        
          decomposition (Haugh, 2004))
        
        
          3)
        
        
          Determine the correlated vector
        
        
          
            
              Z
            
          
        
        
          
            ’ =
          
        
        
          
            
              A
            
          
        
        
          
            .
          
        
        
          
            
              X
            
          
        
        
          
            +
          
        
        
          
            
              μ
            
          
        
        
          
            ln(z)
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            N(μ
          
        
        
          
            ln(z)
          
        
        
          
            ,C
          
        
        
          
            ln(z)
          
        
        
          
            )
          
        
        
          4)
        
        
          Determine the vector with correlated settlement values
        
        
          
            Z
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          
            =
          
        
        
          
            exp(Z
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          
            ’)
          
        
        
          5)
        
        
          Determine the vector with the correlated spring values from
        
        
          eq. (1)
        
        
          4.5
        
        
          
            Step 5 – Determining settlement and rotation foundation
          
        
        
          Since an infinitely stiff foundation is assumed in step 1, the
        
        
          rotation of the foundation can be determined from the vertical
        
        
          force equilibrium and the moment equilibrium in 2 directions:
        
        
            
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
            I
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            J
          
        
        
          
            j
          
        
        
          
            ji
          
        
        
          
            z
          
        
        
          
            qLW R
          
        
        
          
            F
          
        
        
          1
        
        
          1 .
        
        
          (10)
        
        
          
            ay
          
        
        
          
            I
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            J
          
        
        
          
            j
          
        
        
          
            ji ji
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          
            M qLW
          
        
        
          
            xR
          
        
        
          
            M
          
        
        
          _
        
        
          2
        
        
          1
        
        
          1
        
        
          .
        
        
          .
        
        
          21
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
            
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (11)
        
        
          
            ax
          
        
        
          
            I
          
        
        
          
            i
          
        
        
          
            J
          
        
        
          
            j
          
        
        
          
            ji ji
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          
            MWqL
          
        
        
          
            yR
          
        
        
          
            M
          
        
        
          _
        
        
          1
        
        
          1
        
        
          2
        
        
          .
        
        
          .
        
        
          21
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
            
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (12)
        
        
          In which:
        
        
          
            R
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          = force in spring
        
        
          
            S
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          [kN]
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          = x coordinate of spring
        
        
          
            S
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          [m]
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          = y coordinate of spring
        
        
          
            S
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          [m]
        
        
          
            M
          
        
        
          
            y_a
          
        
        
          = acting bending moment around the y axis [kNm]
        
        
          
            M
          
        
        
          
            x_a
          
        
        
          = acting bending moment around the x axis [kNm]
        
        
          The force in every spring can be determined according to:
        
        
          
            ji ji
          
        
        
          
            ji
          
        
        
          
            uk R
          
        
        
          .
        
        
          ;
        
        
          ;
        
        
          
        
        
          (13)
        
        
          In which:
        
        
          u
        
        
          i;j
        
        
          = deformation in spring
        
        
          
            S
          
        
        
          
            i;j
          
        
        
          [m]
        
        
          The deformation in every spring can be expressed as:
        
        
          
            ji y
          
        
        
          
            ji x
          
        
        
          
            ji
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          
            u u
          
        
        
          ;
        
        
          ;
        
        
          0;0
        
        
          ;
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
            
        
        
          (14)
        
        
          In which:
        
        
          
            u
          
        
        
          
            0;0
          
        
        
          = deformation in the point
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          = 0,
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          = 0 [m]
        
        
          
            θ
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          = rotation around the y axis, long axis [-]
        
        
          
            θ
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          = rotation around the x axis, short axis [-]
        
        
          These are exactly the variables of interest, which can be
        
        
          filled in into the equilibrium equations. This leads to a system
        
        
          of linear equations, which can be presented in matrix notation:
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          8
        
        
          5
        
        
          4
        
        
          9 7 3
        
        
          7 6 2
        
        
          3 2 1
        
        
          0;0
        
        
          
            A
          
        
        
          
            A
          
        
        
          
            A u
          
        
        
          
            A A A
          
        
        
          
            A A A
          
        
        
          
            A A A
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (15)
        
        
          Wherein the parameters A1 to A9 can be derived from eq.
        
        
          (10), (11) , (12), (13) and (14).
        
        
          The matrix equation can be solved by Cramer’s rule (Lay,
        
        
          2003), which states that:
        
        
          
            D D U
          
        
        
          
            u
          
        
        
          /
        
        
          0;0
        
        
          0;0
        
        
          
        
        
          (16)
        
        
          
            DD
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          /
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (17)
        
        
          
            DD
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          /
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          
        
        
          (18)
        
        
          In which:
        
        
          
            D
          
        
        
          =
        
        
          determinant of the coefficient matrix
        
        
          
            D
          
        
        
          
            u0;0
          
        
        
          =  determinant of the matrix formed by replacing the
        
        
          u
        
        
          0;0
        
        
          column of the coefficient matrix by the answer
        
        
          matrix
        
        
          
            D
          
        
        
          
            θx
          
        
        
          =  determinant of the matrix formed by replacing the
        
        
          
            θ
          
        
        
          
            x
          
        
        
          column of the coefficient matrix by the answer
        
        
          matrix
        
        
          
            D
          
        
        
          
            θy
          
        
        
          =  determinant of the matrix formed by replacing the
        
        
          
            θ
          
        
        
          
            y
          
        
        
          column of the coefficient matrix by the answer
        
        
          matrix